This is a continuation of a five-year project funded by CDWR and CDFW and the Central Valley Project Improvement Act in 2017. The objective of the project is to improve estimates of population abundances for fall, winter and spring run juvenile Chinook Salmon at Sacramento and Chipps Island by improving trawl efficiency estimates using data from releases of coded wire tags (CWT), acoustic tags (AT), and by genetically sampling the trawl catch in 2025 and 2026. The project will (1) develop statistical models for estimating trawl efficiencies using 2016-2025 data for paired AT-CWT releases of winter run and fall-run Chinook Salmon; (2) use 2016-2025 genetic sampling of trawl catch in combination with efficiency estimates to estimate population abundances of fall, spring and winter run at Sacramento and Chipps Island for 2016-2025; (3) implement trawl efficiency studies for multiple salmon runs in 2025-2026 informed by the prior results and in coordination with hatcheries for inclusion of AT fish with existing CWT releases; and (4) combine trawl efficiencies with genetic samples of trawl catch to provide estimates of fall, spring and winter-run salmon abundance (with estimated precision) entering and exiting the Delta in 2016-2025.
The Environmental Monitoring Program (EMP) began in 1975 to conduct baseline and compliance monitoring of water quality, phytoplankton, zooplankton, and benthic invertebrates in the San Francisco Bay-Delta estuary. This monitoring program was designed to track the impact of water diversions to the State Water Project (SWP) and Central Valley Project (CVP) on the Bay-Delta. In the decades since, EMP scientists have monitored these constituents at fixed and floating stations throughout the estuary and ensured compliance with state and federal mandates such as Water Right Decision 1641 (D-1641). In the years and decades since its inception, EMP has become one of the cornerstones for scientists' and managers' understanding of the pace and pattern of change in this critical ecosystem. By sampling water quality and biological communities concurrently, EMP has created a dataset that is uniquely useful in better understanding causal connections between physical, biological, and biogeochemical processes.
The Delta Juvenile Fish Monitoring Program (DJFMP) has monitored natural-origin and hatchery-origin juvenile Chinook Salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) and other fish species within the San Francisco Estuary (SFE) since 1976 using a combination of midwater trawls and beach seines. Since 2000, three trawl sites and at least 58 beach seine sites have been sampled weekly or biweekly within the SFE and lower Sacramento and San Joaquin Rivers. The main objectives of the DJFMP are: 1. Document the long-term abundance and distribution of juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Delta. 2. Comprehensively monitor throughout the year to document the presence of all races of juvenile Chinook Salmon. 3. Intensively monitor juvenile Chinook salmon during the fall and winter months for use in managing water project operations (Delta Cross Channel gates and water export levels) on a real-time basis. 4. Document the abundance and distribution of Steelhead. 5. Document the abundance and distribution of non-salmonid species.
Due to pervasive anthropogenic influences (e.g., habitat alteration, climate change), current rates of biodiversity loss in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta are unprecedented. Application of appropriate management regimes and mitigation measures thus require effective biological monitoring to adaptively manage systems. Non-invasive environmental DNA (eDNA)-based tools for endangered species monitoring have gained attention as a complementary approach to traditional sampling because of their increased sensitivity and accurate quantification. However, the unique characteristics of environmental RNA (eRNA) make it a novel tool, allowing us to gain additional information that is not possible to obtain with eDNA. Using novel eRNA tools to improve detection and quantify health status of Smelt has only been theorized and remains to be empirically tested. Both Delta and Longfin Smelt species were historically ubiquitous in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta, but have declined precipitously over the past several decades. One source of mortality is entrainment into the south Delta water export pumps. Although the entrainment of juvenile and adult smelt has been regularly monitored at fish salvage facilities, entrainment of larval smelt (< 20 mm) is not quantified, thus remains largely unknown. Moreover, given the current climate change effect (e.g., increased heat stress), an understanding of how these endangered species will respond to acute stress response in the wild is lacking.