Science activity

The number of longfin smelt in the San Francisco Estuary has been in decline for the past several decades. While decreased freshwater flow reaching the estuary has been identified as a contributing factor, the relationship between flow and smelt populations has proven complex and appears to be changing over time. This study examined how water flow affects longfin smelt populations across different habitats in the San Francisco Estuary, analyzing decades of monitoring data from state and federal agencies. The research explored both where smelt live in the estuary and how their populations change over time in response to varying water flows. The findings show that more freshwater flow generally helps smelt populations, especially young fish in shallow waters. However, this beneficial effect appears to be weakening over time in some areas, particularly in open waters away from the shore. This suggests that smelt may be adapting to changing conditions by moving to different parts of the estuary. To help protect this threatened species, conservation efforts may need to focus on both restoring natural water flows and improving habitat conditions throughout the estuary.