Science activity

Science activity #54267, updated 16 July 2025

Improving subsidence and carbon emissions modeling

Description / purpose

On-going subsidence of organic soils threatens the physical structure of the Delta, its central role in the state’s water system, many diverse species that depend on it, and threatens future agricultural production. Knowledge of baseline
emissions and subsidence rates is important for developing alternative land use scenarios for maximizing benefits for sequestering carbon, reducing or reversing subsidence, providing income for landowners via the carbon market, and
reducing flood risk. 
This project will gather, process, and analyze recent data in the Delta for land-surface elevation changes, greenhouse gas fluxes measured by eddy covariance and gas chambers, soil organic matter content, depth-to-groundwater, and soil
organic thickness. These data will be used to update and calibrate the SUBCALC model and refine model inputs to improve the model’s ability to simulate subsidence and CO2 emissions. Collaboration with the Jet Propulsion
Laboratory and UC Berkeley will allow use of CO2 flux and InSAR data to calibrate and validate the SUBCALC model. The Delta Conservancy is another partner assisting with assessment of modeling for land-use conversion planning.
TNC and Metropolitan Water District are partners to assist with use of SUBCALC for engagement of the carbon market and collaborate with the Suisun RCD to improve estimates of subsidence and CO2 emissions.

Linked science activities

None specified

Collaborators

Steven Deverel, Principal investigator - Hydrofocus Inc.

Activity status

  • 1 Awarded / Initiating (2025)
  • 2 In progress / Ongoing (2025 - 2028)
  • 3 Complete

Funding summary

Total allocated funding: $198,000

Label Value
Contract # or labor code 23000
Implementing organization Hydrofocus Inc.
Funding organization Delta Stewardship Council
Funding Source Delta Stewardship Council - General Fund
Date of award 2025-04-01
Date of fiscal year-end 2025-06-30
Total award amount $198,000
State type of obligation Not provided
Federal type of obligation Not provided
Reimbursability Not provided
Procurement mechanism Not provided

Location

Subbasins
Delta regions

Geographic tags

None specified

Products and outputs

None provided